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Europe HVAC & Construction Outlook 2025: Why Smart Thermostats Are Your Next MEP Opportunity

[12 Jun, 2025]

The European HVAC market is poised for robust growth, driven by new energy-efficiency regulations, electrification of heating, and a rebound in construction activity. For MEP contractors, installers, and building-automation specialists, now is the perfect time to integrate smart thermostats, IoT HVAC controls, and building energy management systems into your offerings. In this post, we:

  1. Unpack the latest market forecasts for HVAC and construction in Europe (2024–2030)

  2. Highlight technology trends reshaping the industry

  3. Show how CosyClimate’s smart-thermostat solutions fit these trends

  4. Close with a clear call to action to help you get started


1. European HVAC Market Outlook (2024–2030)

  • Market Size & Growth

    • Valued at USD 68.8 B in 2024, projected to reach USD 99.3 B by 2030 at a 6.3 % CAGR ▶️ Arizton Europe HVAC Report (source)

    • The air-conditioning segment is outpacing heating, especially in Southern Europe, driven by more frequent heatwaves and rising comfort expectations.

  • Regional Highlights

    • Western Europe accounts for ~56 % of the market, led by Germany, France, and the UK.

    • Central & Eastern Europe (CEE) is accelerating as governments fund large-scale retrofit and new-build programs.

  • Growth Drivers

    • EU Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD 2024): Near-zero-energy building standards.

    • IoT-enabled HVAC controls for predictive maintenance and demand-response.

    • Green financing and subsidies for heat-pump installations.


2. European Construction & MEP Forecast (2024–2027)

  • 2024 Downturn & 2025 Recovery

    • Construction output in the 19 Euroconstruct countries fell by 2.4 % in 2024 due to high interest rates and material costs.

    • A 0.6 % recovery is expected in 2025, with stronger rebounds in 2026–2027 ▶️ Euroconstruct Conference. (source)

  • Segment Trends

    • Residential Renovation: Fueled by NextGenerationEU grants and energy-efficiency incentives.

    • Non-Residential: Public infrastructure and green-building retrofits are on the rise.

    • MEP Contractor Opportunity: Growing demand for turnkey solutions that marry HVAC, electrical, plumbing, and advanced building automation.


3. Why Smart Thermostats & HVAC Controls Matter

Modern buildings need more than on/off switches. Smart thermostats deliver:

  • Precise temperature control (± 0.1 °C) with external sensors

  • Flexible scheduling: 6-event daily programming, 5+2 or 7-day modes

  • Multi-protocol connectivity: Wi-Fi, Zigbee, Modbus, KNX

  • ECO and Holiday modes, plus full remote control via app or web

  • Energy-usage reporting and demand-response participation

For MEP contractors, these features mean:

  1. Enhanced building performance and EPBD compliance

  2. New service offerings: remote diagnostics and predictive maintenance

  3. Additional revenue streams from energy-management contracts and retrofit programs


4. Technology Trends Shaping HVAC & Thermostat Solutions

TrendImpact on Thermostat & HVAC Solutions
IoT & ConnectivityReal-time monitoring, OTA firmware updates, BMS integration
AI & Machine LearningLearns occupant patterns to optimize set-points and reduce waste
Natural RefrigerantsCO₂-based systems requiring precise control for efficiency
Indoor Air QualityIntegrated CO₂, VOC, and PM₂.₅ sensors within HVAC controls
Circular EconomyModular thermostats & valves designed for easy upgrade & reuse

5. Next Steps 

Ready to help your clients embrace energy-efficient HVAC and state-of-the-art smart thermostat solutions?

  1. Download our Smart Thermostat Spec Sheet to explore full technical specs and integration options.

  2. Schedule a Live Demo of CosyClimate’s HVAC control platform—see how easy it is to deploy and manage.

  3. Contact Our Experts for a custom proposal on retrofit or new-build projects. (info@cosyclimate.com, CEO)


“Integrate precision, connectivity, and sustainability into every project—future-proof your buildings with CosyClimate’s smart HVAC controls.”